Different from the one-sided pessimism of the nitrogen fertilizer market in the previous period, the nitrogen fertilizer market has gradually stabilized. The industry analysts have analyzed that because of cost support and the digestion of social stocks, the price of nitrogen fertilizer has basically bottomed out, and there is a very small potential for continued decline. Before July, The nitrogen fertilizer market may show steady or steady growth. The price may have bottomed out “From the current situation, although the market price may still be adjusted, I think the price has basically bottomed out.†Meng Bo, sales manager of Shandong Rising Group, said that he thinks that looking at the price of fertilizer is not just a matter of looking at it. Also from the long-term analysis, prices are affected by supply and demand on the one hand, but they are more subject to cost constraints. He believes that the recent domestic coal prices, especially port coal prices, are rising continuously. Since the earthquake in Japan, due to the fact that nuclear power plants cannot supply power, the international coal demand will change. If the coal continues to maintain its current level or rises slightly, Fertilizer prices will not be lowered because of rigid support costs. "If you fall below the cost price, the only option for companies is to stop production." Prior to the market news, due to the recession of the previous market, some companies have increased inventory pressure. According to industry sources, some companies have suffered serious losses in the January-March period, some of which stopped production and cut production. Another part of the companies also said that if the market does not see improvement, it will continue to expand production cuts. “Once there is such a situation, the impact on the entire industry is huge, so everyone will avoid such a situation.†Mao Zixue, deputy manager of Henan Zhongyuan Dahua Group Co., Ltd., said so. According to him, from the point of view of the market this week, prices have started to stabilize, and companies will not be as calm as they were in the past two weeks and have cut prices. He analyzed from the price push back that the average cost of urea this year was more than 300 yuan per ton higher than last year, while the price of urea was about 1,600 yuan per ton in the same period last year, so it seems that according to the current urea price, the operating pressure of the production enterprises this year Much higher than last year. He believes that urea prices will stabilize in April, and there should be a slow rise in May-July. Market is stabilizing the market outlook Stabilization of prices also indicates that the market has begun to gradually embark on the normal track. In the interview, the reporter also clearly felt that, although the market volume still showed little improvement, the confidence of the manufacturers had recovered since this week. "We are optimistic about the market outlook," said Ling Zhiwei, sales manager of Zhejiang Jinju Chemical Co., Ltd. Jinju Chemical is the only urea production enterprise in Zhejiang Province. The shortage of real estate supply has caused a large number of foreign urea to flow into the Zhejiang market. This has also allowed Jinju Chemical to actually experience a “strangulation†in the competition with urea in other regions. Also dropped again and again. However, Ling Zhiwei believes that prices have stabilized, and that the suspension of production by some manufacturers is equal to giving the market a signal that the price is close to the cost price, after which the market may start to pick up. Mao Zixue analyzes the market outlook from the social inventory, and the conclusion reached is also "firmly optimistic." He believes that the reason why everyone has cut prices beforehand is to worry about inventory, but in fact, the same period this year has been much less than the same period last year, on the one hand is affected by exports, energy-saving emission reduction and other factors, in 2010 compared to 2009 resources Reduced by about 8 million tons during the same period. According to statistics, the daily output of nitrogen fertilizer is 145,000 tons, which is also a decrease from the daily output of 160,000 tons in the same period of last year. Therefore, the amount of social inventory in the first half of this year is not large. Although there will still be a crisis of oversupply, it has not been far off the mark. The point. In June and July, it is the highest peak of nitrogen fertilizer use in the whole year. This will be the biggest advantage. Meng Bo is an analysis of a variety of factors. He pointed out that many people now say that they “do not understand the market†and do not analyze, but there are many factors that affect the urea market, such as raw materials, climate, and funds. , Macroeconomic policies, etc. Among many factors, it may be that a certain factor will boost the market, but at the same time there is a pessimistic factor, leading people to dare not to judge easily. In addition to inventory, operating rate, price and other factors, Meng Bo believes that the Ministry of Finance has just defined a policy that the export base price of nitrogen fertilizer in the off-season includes taxes and fees. It also serves to boost market confidence to some extent. “Although in recent years, How to export nitrogen fertilizer has always been more controversial, but companies still want to be able to export some in the off-season.†He pointed out that this is determined by the characteristics of the fertilizer industry, from the perspective of the consumer market, there are seasons; but nitrogen fertilizer companies The need for continuous production, can not be started during the peak season, will stop production in the off-season. According to him, at present, some companies have started to actively contact exports, and it is expected that this year's urea concentration port will be advanced. The upcoming Northeast market will also have a certain diverging effect on the market. In addition, Meng Bo also mentioned that not only agricultural use of urea, according to statistics, urea industry demand has reached 10 million tons, since the beginning of spring, urea industrial demand is still growing steadily, so the pressure on the inventory is not as everyone thinks so serious. Decorative Ceiling Fan,Decorative Ceiling Fan With Led,Decorative Fan Pulls,Decorative Ceiling Fan Pulls ZHONGSHAN UFAN ELECTRIC APPLIANCE CO. LTD , https://www.uflightceilingfan.com