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The chemical fiber industry has basically stepped out of the economic adjustment period and is entering a stable rising period. In 2006, the output of chemical fiber reached 20.255 million tons, an increase of 12.9%, of which polyester production was 16.046 million tons, an increase of 11.34%. Compared with previous years, the growth rate of chemical fiber production is a reasonable return. At the same time, the convergence of production and sales of chemical fiber products was good, and the production and sales ratio of major products reached 100%, and chemical fiber stocks were basically flat.
The economic operation of the industry is gradually stable. In 2006, the total profit of the chemical fiber industry was 6.62 billion yuan, an increase of 41.6%, and a net increase of 1.94 billion yuan; the loss of loss-making enterprises was 2.57 billion yuan, a decrease of 14%; the industry-wide loss was 19.3%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points.
The competitiveness of the chemical fiber industry continues to increase, and technological progress has accelerated significantly. In 2006, in the national macro-economic regulation and control of the chemical fiber industry, the industrial structure was continuously optimized and the degree of industrial concentration further improved. The proportion of eastern chemical fiber production capacity has reached 89.4%, and is mainly concentrated in Zhejiang and Jiangsu provinces; the proportion of production capacity of private enterprises has more than two-thirds; China's chemical fiber imports continue to decline, and exports grow rapidly. The annual import of chemical fiber reached 1.286 million tons, a drop of 15.5%; the export exceeded 1 million tons for the first time to reach 1.049 million tons, an increase of 47.7%. Polyester filament, polyester staple fiber, viscose filament yarn, viscose staple fiber, and spandex were all It became a net export variety; the total exports of chemical fiber textiles and clothing reached 47.41 billion U.S. dollars, a year-on-year increase of 26%; the differential rate of chemical fiber was further increased. According to preliminary statistics, in 2006, the differential rate of chemical fiber reached 32.5%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points over the previous year.
In 2006, the problems and conflicts in the economic operation of the chemical fiber industry are still prominent.
The fixed-asset investment growth rate in the chemical fiber industry still has signs of recovery, which brings hidden dangers to the operation and development of the industry. In 2004, the growth rate of investment in the chemical fiber industry was as high as 44.1%. In 2005, under the guidance of the national macroeconomic regulation and industry self-regulation, the growth rate of investment in the chemical fiber industry fell to 2%. The investment growth of the chemical fiber industry from January to May 2006 was only 3.2%, but quickly rebounded in November, and the investment growth rate reached 33.8%. At the end of the year, it fell sharply by 10.9 percentage points, making year-end industry investment increase by 22.9% year-on-year. In general, the fixed-asset investment growth in the chemical fiber industry is clearly returning. However, it must be concerned that this sudden rebound in investment growth will affect the good balance of market demand that the industry has achieved through adjustment. This will exacerbate vicious competition in the market and affect the healthy and sustainable development of the industry.
The contradiction between the supply and demand of major raw materials for chemical fiber has been eased, but the shortage is still serious. In 2006, the domestic chemical fiber raw material production capacity increased at different levels, the market shortage problem eased, and the import growth rate slowed down significantly. Imports of major synthetic fiber materials were 12.378 million tons, an increase of 3.9%. Imports of PTA increased by 7.8%, MEG imports increased by 1.6%, AN imports increased by 2.6%, imports of CPL and nylon 66 salt decreased by 9.85% and 24.51% respectively. The main raw material for human fiber imports was 622,000 tons, an increase of 49.8%. Among them, human fiber pulp and cotton linters increased by 34.9% and 87.4%, respectively. The listing of PTA futures contracts can also ease the pressure of domestic raw material shortages to a certain extent, and increase China's polyester polyester industry's initiative in the international PTA market.
The constraints of coal, electricity and transportation in the chemical fiber industry are still potential problems in the development of the industry. From 2003 to 2004, there was a shortage of energy sources such as media and electricity in provinces and cities such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai where chemical fiber production was relatively concentrated, which seriously affected the normal production of chemical fiber companies. In 2006, although energy supply basically achieved a balance between supply and demand, potential energy shortages have still not been fundamentally resolved. The development of the industry must always be combined with energy, environment and other factors to make overall planning.
Looking forward to 2007, although China's chemical fiber industry is facing the world's crude oil prices continue to operate at a high level, the main raw material costs for chemical fiber will continue to maintain a relatively high level for a long time, as well as the unfavorable factors such as chemical fiber products and textile products continue to aggravate trade friction in the international market, but chemical fiber The industry will still enter a period of steady increase. The first is that the new round of growth cycle of the world economy is not over. In 2007, the global economic growth is still expected to reach 4.9%. Second, China’s economic development is good. Although the economic growth rate in 2007 will fall back, it is expected to reach 9.5%. Third, the stable development of the textile industry provides a good space for the development of the chemical fiber industry. Fourth, the country’s active macro-control measures and timely and effective industry self-regulation will guide the healthy development of the chemical fiber industry. Therefore, we must earnestly implement the scientific concept of development, actively change the mode of growth, and realize the sound development of the chemical fiber industry.
In 2006, despite the unfavorable factors such as the high oil prices in the world, the continuous appreciation of the renminbi, and the heightened international trade friction, the chemical fiber industry showed steady recovery throughout the year.