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Three major factors contributed to the market's surge. The limited production of enterprises caused a serious shortage of supply in the market, and the prices rose sharply in the short-term. Recently, the pace of domestic energy-saving emission reduction accelerated, nitrochlorobenzene companies limited production, domestic operating rates once fell to 45%, a serious shortage of supply of goods. Starting in mid-October, nitrochlorobenzene has started to heat up significantly, and the ex-factory price has been raised from 6,400 yuan to 6,800 yuan. With the maintenance and parking of the 100,000-ton plant of Nanhua Company, the supply of goods in the market was stretched, and there was a sharp increase in price for the second time in a week, which rose to 7,500 yuan. The high-end in late October had already reached 7,800 yuan. Ortho-nitrochlorobenzene, on the other hand, was repaired at a low price and repaired in situ, reproducing the inverted market.
Pushing up raw materials to promote the price of enterprises full of confidence. Since October, the basic raw materials in the chemical market have risen to a large extent. Pure benzene and nitric acid, the main raw materials of nitrochlorobenzene, have risen by 10% and 33% respectively. In addition to enterprises that directly produce nitrochlorobenzene from pure benzene, enterprises that produce chlorinated benzene separately still account for more than 30% of domestic production enterprises. Also, based on the rise in liquid chlorine, the procurement costs increase, and chlorination cannot be met. Benzene supply and other issues. Driven by the tightening price of raw materials, domestic nitrochlorobenzene companies have increased their prices, and the high-end transaction prices have been continuously updated, which is one of the reasons for the rapid rise of nitrochlorobenzene.
The rise of consumer goods has stimulated the demand industry chain. In the near future, the phenomenon of “external inflation and depreciation†of the RMB has become a hot spot. End-use consumer products in the domestic chemical industry also rose to varying degrees. For example, medicines, dyes, auxiliaries, etc. all showed a moderate recovery trend. The increase ranged from 10% to 15%. The continuous rise of nitrochlorobenzene and the downstream conduction were relatively significant. smoothly. In addition, coupled with the upswing of the market, there are also artificial speculation factors, and some companies are concerned that the price of industrial products will form general factors, while the implementation of centralized procurement of inventory.
The short-term market trend continues to show signs of growth. The phenomenon of limited production still exists in the short term, and end-use consumption has not been weakened. It is understood that the phenomenon of power cuts caused by energy conservation and emission reduction still exists in the short term, and the entire industrial chain including nitrochlorobenzene will be affected to varying degrees. However, the demand for products such as terminal dyes, pharmaceuticals, and auxiliaries has not been affected much, and consumer prices have risen. The increase in the prices of consumer goods this time reflects the continued improvement of the macroeconomic outlook and the obvious trend of increasing the prices of industrial products. Therefore, there are still opportunities for the market for nitrochlorobenzene after finishing, and o-nitrochlorobenzene will also seek a breakthrough due to the upside down of nitrochlorobenzene, reaching a new balance point.
External platters of pure benzene still have room for domestic growth, and support has continued to improve. Since September, the continuous rise of international pure benzene has opened the arbitrage window in the international market and does not rule out the possibility of exports of pure benzene. According to statistics, as of October 22, domestic benzene stockpiles in domestic ports were already less than 30,000 tons, a decrease of 30% from the beginning of the month. In addition, Yangzi Petrochemical started to overhaul after maintenance. Equipment repairs were carried out by Dalian Fujia Dahua, Lanzhou Petrochemical, Liaoyang Petrochemical and other companies. Domestic benzene was still in a good position after recent consolidation under the premise of strong external disk and internal supply reduction. , On the upstream raw materials to form a strong support for the market of nitrochlorobenzene.
After the speculation cools down, the market may adjust the speculation and the market starts to cool down rationally. The operating rate is expected to gradually increase. It is understood that the rapid rise in the market of nitrochlorobenzene, in addition to limited power, limited production, there are speculation factors caused a panic atmosphere, the market has gradually increased space to pull up. However, with the restoration of Nanhua Company's installation, the tight supply situation is expected to be eased, and with the increase in the overall transaction price of nitrochlorobenzene, profit margins will open, and the nitrochlorobenzene companies will increase their intention to start construction. The market for chlorobenzene continued to rise and formed resistance.
The nitrochlorobenzene rises too fast and the downstream digestion has been slow. According to downstream companies, the rapid rise of nitrochlorobenzene in the near future has caused companies to resist resistance in the process of continuous upswings. At the same time, due to the unsatisfactory start-up and increasing cost, it has been forced to reduce procurement, and the market may move into a sideways adjustment pattern in the near future, and the nitrochlorobenzene upside down is expected to return to normal.
Since mid-to-late October, driven by factors such as energy-saving emission reductions and company outages, the market for nitrochlorobenzene has soared from 6,400 yuan (t price, the same below) to 7,500 yuan, and the high end has reached 7800 yuan. Yuan, rose more than 17%. The o-nitrochlorobenzene which is an isomer is up slightly and stable, the ex-factory price is 7500 yuan, and the upward power is insufficient, which breaks the regular “neighbor-strong-weak†regular market operation rule of nitrochlorobenzene. Upside down market. Based on the current macro-good picture of the chemical market, there is little chance of a sharp drop in the short-term, but there are clear signs of high market adjustments. The historical operating data of nitrochlorobenzene shows that the pattern of strong neighbors and weakers will not last long, so the market outlook may adjust to the pattern of sideways adjustment.