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Chang Yingzhi, a research fellow in the chemical industry of China Investment Advisors, pointed out that recently, the market has stated that China's chemical fertilizer export tariff for the whole year of 2011 will implement a uniform export tax rate of 30% to 40%. If the rumors are confirmed, the export of phosphate fertilizer in China will be affected. Great restrictions. The production of phosphate fertilizer is one of the main application areas of sulfur in China. Once the export of phosphate fertilizer is limited, the demand for sulfur in the domestic market will be reduced. Therefore, under the influence of this negative factor, the domestic sulfur market has already faced greater pressure.
Moreover, at present, the external dependence of sulfur in China is relatively high, and the expected reduction in sulfur demand in the domestic market will inevitably affect the import market of sulfur, which will lead to a decline in the price of sulfur ports. According to the "Investment Analysis and Forecast Report of China's Phosphate Fertilizer Industry 2010-2015" released by China Investment Advisor, sulfur is currently mainly used in the production of agricultural phosphate fertilizer in China, and the dependence on foreign resources is as high as 70%.
Chang Yongzhi also pointed out that in terms of the sulfur market, although the domestic sulfur market is affected by the rumors of adjustment of tariff policies, there is an expectation of reduced demand. However, from the perspective of the entire international market, the current sulfur supply in the United States is relatively tight, and some new international sulphuric acid projects are about to be put into operation. The global demand for sulphur will increase. Therefore, the international supply of sulphur will remain tight, and it is expected that the price of sulphur will fluctuate significantly later.
Zhang Yanlin, research director of China Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., pointed out that the price of sulphur is not only affected by the supply and demand relationship of the sulphur market, but also related to the development of oil prices, the petrochemical industry, the global supply of phosphorus fertilizers and price levels, and China’s tariff policies. The relationship is also very close. At present, due to the completion of natural gas desulfurization projects in the Middle East and China, the supply of sulphur will increase substantially, and the price of sulphur may decline in the long term.
Affected by tariff policies, most current sulfur buyers adopt prudent procurement strategies and are basically in a wait-and-see mode. Some traders have already shipped goods because of lack of confidence in the sulfur market. At present, China's sulfur port prices have fallen compared with October.